Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.010080 0.011394 0.012838 0.014547 0.016519 0.018730 0.021403
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007928 0.009675 0.011770 0.014484 0.017933 0.022201 0.027934
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006510 0.008340 0.010660 0.013849 0.018168 0.023884 0.032139
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005715 0.007615 0.010136 0.013776 0.018974 0.026258 0.037457
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005354 0.007390 0.010206 0.014454 0.020830 0.030252 0.045625
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004714 0.006691 0.009515 0.013930 0.020825 0.031467 0.049708
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004229 0.006154 0.008986 0.013559 0.020969 0.032874 0.054243
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003914 0.005834 0.008737 0.013575 0.021697 0.035273 0.060782
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003778 0.005768 0.008864 0.014191 0.023468 0.039625 0.071480
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003504 0.005458 0.008571 0.014072 0.023951 0.041771 0.078390
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003310 0.005257 0.008432 0.014192 0.024861 0.044792 0.087500
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003081 0.004977 0.008133 0.013995 0.025152 0.046663 0.094540
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002946 0.004853 0.008102 0.014302 0.026485 0.050852 0.107573
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002767 0.004640 0.007899 0.014273 0.027169 0.053858 0.118648
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002520 0.004286 0.007411 0.013647 0.026564 0.054054 0.123139
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002375 0.004103 0.007219 0.013574 0.027095 0.056785 0.134391
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002339 0.004115 0.007389 0.014242 0.029286 0.063581 0.157572
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002160 0.003846 0.007002 0.013726 0.028804 0.064073 0.163958
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002015 0.003631 0.006702 0.013362 0.028622 0.065257 0.172557
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001924 0.003514 0.006586 0.013377 0.029320 0.068729 0.188622
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001901 0.003528 0.006732 0.013983 0.031500 0.076353 0.219249
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001807 0.003394 0.006564 0.013865 0.031894 0.079317 0.235884
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.001742 0.003314 0.006502 0.013984 0.032898 0.084115 0.259906